In recent years, I have become a fan of Irish economist David McWilliams. It started on a trip to Ireland, where my wife is from, to visit her family. At the time, the housing market was roaring beyond common sense and the conventional wisdom was to buy housing immediately because it was only going to skyrocket in the future. I tried to explain, in my limited way, that it was a classic bubble that was going to pop. No one listened. Finally, McWilliams explained on the national broadcast channel exactly what I was saying, only much more eloquently and clearly. He was right, and I became a fan.
Saved us a few quid. Thanks, I owe you a pint. By the way, his Twitter handle is @davidmcw and his podcast is great, with interviews with many economists from around the world. Great spin on things if you are interested in Ireland, or need a break from North American propaganda.
His most recent podcast was about tearing down city center multi-story parking garages (car parks) in Dublin to make way for a more walkable, pedestrian based city that is mostly car-free, relying on bicycles, walking, and transit to move people and goods. You can call this idea the “Fifteen Minute City” which is an idea that within fifteen minutes, you should be able to be from your home to any task. I agree with this. However, I believe parking areas, especially those directly outside of the car-free zones, are crucial.
Before I had a family, I lived in both San Francisco and Marin County for a total of eighteen years without a car. First I couldn’t afford one, then I didn’t need one. Finally, I didn’t want one. I biked, walked, used transit, and shopped local. When family came, things changed, and my wife wanted one so, enter Toyota!
But as I watch San Francisco change, and Dublin as well (by the way, San Francisco is “Dublin on steroids”) changes have happened that I do not like. As the city took over from the suburbs to become the choice of the elite, it has forced the poor and the young out of the cities. Most starter families can not afford to live in San Francisco, so they move away. Essential San Francisco workers live over an hour away, most do not live near a transit hub, so they rely on cars. This is only made worse by the “no growth” policies that encumber normalizing life for those not in that upper income tier. Especially when any rational public transit policy is twenty-five years away. The freeways are there, the parking exists. Cars are truly the “tyranny of now”.
“The Tyranny of Now” is an idea that we currently live within a society that contains elements that are both necessary and oppressing at the same time, creating a trap we can not easily escape. Car culture is a prime example. It is a life choice to live without one (try to date without a car) and a choice that once you are almost forced to buy into, one that is indispensable. Try to live in a true suburb or estate without one, and it becomes apparent. So, if we are to throw off the shackles of car culture, we need to pay attention to the plight of most who have bought into this “tyranny of now”.
Most importantly, any temporary solution involves cars. Not because I am enamored of them, but because the whole grid is tied to them. It’s easy to dismiss it all with the phrase “use public transit” when the typical experience means three plus hours on multiple bus lines navigating public streets with a whinging family in tow only made bearable by a flask of hooch. Until affordable transit is available, your urban utopias will be ignored by the great unwashed. The solution is parking with free transit to the destination, UNTIL THE GRID IS IN PLACE. By ignoring this, you will cut off a city center to all but a chosen few.
Part of the reason why the cities have regained popularity is because of the car. Almost formulaically, the cars have cluttered up the commute to the suburbs so badly, the city has become an answer to this nightmare. The system created a problem it can’t solve. As a primary observer, I can see the problems. However, the city has become, well, more suburbanized.
SF used to have a nightclub zone. A street of pubs and music venues. Finally, one condominium building was approved. Almost overnight, the new residents “discovered” it was noisy. Then, as rents shot up, both retail and residential, residents and clubs were forced out. The result of the urbanization of the population was not of clubs, pubs, and retail. More like boring middle aged people waiting for a tech bus to take them to Silicon Valley. Part of our real estate allure is how close the residence is to a special bus stop with corporate buses to whisk you to San Jose in relative luxury to work. By making the cities the place to be, while not fixing long term housing and transit issues, a mess is created. By the way, transit for non-tech people is horrid.
Also, as rents and property increase, locals are forced out. SF has rent-control laws, but there are loopholes to move renters. Hard to wonder why homeless exist when you look at the no-fault evictions. Staggering numbers. The pundits will opine that it’s “unfortunate” in the land of no growth. It is not unfortunate. It’s deliberate.
I know this because I was “moved”. Under SF’s rent control laws, a landlord can legally evict you if they wish to personally move into your residence. It happened to me. I was marginally housed for four years because of this moving from hostel, to couch, to sublet etc. I ended up outside of the city with nothing. My unit was immediately rented out after I left. I could rarely visit my friends, as the transit trips were prohibitive. Before this event, or if it never occurred, I would have remained anti-housing and anti-car. “There but by the grace of God go I.”
If you create an urban oasis, it needs to function for everyone. This includes lower wage workers and students. You can say transit is coming, but I know these projects are tied up in litigation for years. Transit can’t be the never happening excuse. Affordable housing is only lip service until it is built. Cars are the only stopgap, especially in cities without true metros. Dublin is a city without a true link between its two major train stations. Carting the luggage on the LUAS, the local above-ground light rail, is not a true transit link.
All of these situations are due to happen if the city becomes the province of the elite only. They also travel more, so the city can feel asleep at night and on the weekends. And tourism does not bridge this, as tourists tend to be less tolerated by the locals. They try to maximize their home value than the proletariat. And used bookstores are the first casualty of the conquering intellectuals.
I miss all my neighbors who were forced out. It might be fun to watch parking options stripped away as environmentally necessary, but it also deters former local residents and anyone nearby who do not have other options at this time to enjoy the city.